Thursday, July 30, 2009

G2 Lake George (Saratoga Day 3)

Fairly interesting affair for 3yo fillies on the lawn.

I've keyed on the G3 Boiling Springs at Monmouth, which has two of the short prices in the race, Mary's Follies and Kiawah Cat. Mary's Follies held off a late rally by Kiawah to prevail in that race, but I like Kiawah to turn the tables here. Kiawah is an emerging type from the Darley stable that looks poised to fire her best shot third off the shelf. She's trained very well at Saratoga and you have to figure the Darley barn will wake up at some point.

Mary's Follies is too tough and consistent to omit underneath but the primary threat for me is Consequence. McGaughey's got a useful one here who just might have turned the corner.

Euro alert! Missy Keller has come stateside for this event off a 4th place finish in a minor affair at the Curragh. She might be the only value in the race and worth fattening the exotics if the short turn around hasn't hindered her already iffy form.

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