Below is an expansion on the Breeers Cup Grades posted yesterday. You can find the base spreadsheet here...
I have made some minor grade adjustments here or there and have the complete fields now reflected since posts have been drawn. Anyone interested feel free to check back on the sheet throughout the week as I am updating and refining it daily until Thursday night, my self imposed deadline for 'capping the cup' in this space.
Below are all the horses I have graded A or B at some point in the last two days for Fridays Breeders Cup races.
Ladies Classic
Carless Jewel
Pros
Freakish ability
Multiple wins on synthetics
Controlling speed
Cons
Class test
Synthetic wins in maiden an allowance class
Track does not typically favor speed
Cocoa Beach
Pros
o Back class
o Appears to love Santa Anita
Cons
o Has lost a step in 09
o Finished behind horses she should be beating
Lethal Heat
Pros
o Consistent
o Loves synthetics, particularly Santa Anita
Cons
o Bad case of second-itis (7-0-3-3 in 09)
o Doesn’t appear to have that “monster” effort in her
Life Is Sweet
Pros
o No Zenyatta or males this time
o Consistency
o Great record at Santa Anita
Cons
o Appears to be regressing slightly
o Figures on the low side of late
Music Note
Pros
o More than enough ability to win this
o Dynamic
o Tactical speed
o Ran well in this last year
Cons
o Two monster efforts back to back could take an edge off her
o Synthetics might blunt her ability slightly
Rainbow View
Pros
o As talented a filly as any in the field
o Back class that rivals any here
Cons
o The dreaded second start off the plane
§ Three week turnaround
Filly & Mare Turf
Forever Together
Pros
o Defending Champ
o Perfect distance
§ Only losses in 09 at a mile
Cons
o Appears to have lost a step
§ Speed figures have trended downwards in 09
Magical Fantasy
Pros
o 4 race win streak
o West Coast ringer
Cons
o Beaten nothing of this quality
o Faced nothing of this quality
o Average speed figures for a multiple G1 winner
Midday
Pros
o Class of the field
o Repeat of Nassua effort wins for fun
§ B effort could be enough
o Freshened and prepped for this
Cons
o None of real consequence beyond the ship
Juvenile Fillies
Always A Princess
Pros
o Proven over track and distance
o Should move forward from Oak leaf
Cons
o Handily beaten by likely favorite in oak Leaf
Beautician
Pros
o Both game an consistent
o Fast enough to win
o Is likely to be completely overlooked based on last effort
Cons
o A mild case of second-it is
Blind Luck
Pros
o Consistent
o Has adapted to multiple surfaces
o Dominated the signature prep for this race
Cons
o One lost is to the best filly she faced to date
Devil May Care
Pros
o Undefeated
o Tactical speed
Cons
o No synthetic form
Negligee
Pros
o G1 win around two turns
§ Defeating a rival here
Cons
o Will need ideal trip + pace
She Be Wild
Pros
o Consistent
o Two turn and distance experience
o Will get at a price because of slim loss last out
Cons
o Might lack the late kick needed here to win
Filly & Mare Sprint
Game Face
Pros
o Capable of a monster effort
o Fairly consistent
Cons
o Synthetic prep for this was very poor
o Two loses to one of the top rivals here
Informed Decision
Pros
o Undefeated on synthetics
o Beat main rival in only meeting
Cons
o Recent speed figures have been lacking
Sara Louise
Pros
o Consistent
o Last filly to beat the great Rachel Alexandra
o 09 races have been stellar
Cons
o No synthetics starts
Ventura
Pros
o Defending champ
o In career best form
o Consitently higher Beyer’s than field
Cons
o Can be beaten by an equal talent
§ Two losses in 09 to Informed Decision and Gio Ponti
Juvenile Fillies Turf
House of Grace
Pros
o Undefeated
o Beaten several she’ll face here
Cons
o May be beating inferior U.S stock
In The Slips
Pros
o Getting hot at the right time
Cons
o Beating up on second tier euro’s
Junia Tepzia
Pros
o Undefeated and unchallenged
o Highest racing post rating of the field
o Looks to be capable of much more
Cons
o Not a real glaring weakness
La Nez
Pros
o Consistently improving
o Run in good company
Cons
o First start on turf
Lillie Langtry
Pros
o Run in the highest class of the field
o Has never run a bad race in esteemed company
Cons
o Long campaign
o Figures have trended down of late
Rose Catherine
Pros
o Freaked in first race over turf
o Highest Beyer in the field
Cons
o Bounce candidate
o First stretch out
Smart Seattle
Pros
o Consistent
o Has run on equal terms or better than many in here
o Has the look of a horse capable of improving
Cons
o Second-it is to horses that might not be the main rivals here
Marathon
Black Astor
Pros
o Loves distance an is grade quality in the division
o Controlling speed
· Cons
o Things can go south quick if he is pressure on the lead
Cloudys Night
Pros
o Old warrior is in great form
o Legit G1 horse on his best day
Cons
o Will run into a couple here that are better than what he has faced in 09
Father Time
Pros
o Class edge over many here
o Repeat of King Edwards effort can only be topped by main rival
o Synthetic win to his credit
o Rested and primed for this
Cons
o Has never been able to beat Mastery regardless of distance
Man Of Iron
Pros
o Switch to all weather rejuvenated season
o Has run in good company
Cons
o Never been of the top two’s quality
o Long campaign
Mastery
Pros
o The class of the field
o Repeat of last will be more than enough here
o Been campaigned with this in mind
o Good effort over all weather track
Cons
o Not much to dislike
Railtout Breeders Cup Scheule
Wenesday: Pro's & Con's (Saturday)
Thursday: Picks for Friday
Friday: Picks for Saturday
Saturday: Live Blog
Sunday: Recap
Posts
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